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Date May 2009 Marks available 2 Reference code 09M.1.sl.TZ2.10
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ2
Command term Find Question number 10 Adapted from N/A

Question

For events A and B, the probabilities are \({\text{P}}(A) = \frac{4}{13}\) and \({\text{P}}(B) = \frac{5}{13}\).

If events A and B are mutually exclusive, write down the value of \({\text{P}} (A\cap B)\).

[1]
a.

If events A and B are independent, find the value of \({\text{P}} (A\cap B)\).

[2]
b.

If \({\text{P}} (A \cup B) = \frac{7}{13}\), find the value of \({\text{P}} (A \cap B)\).

[3]
c.

Markscheme

\({\rm{P}}(A \cap B) = 0\)     (A1)     (C1)

[1 mark]

a.

\({\rm{P}}(A \cap B) = {\rm{P}}(A) \times {\rm{P}}(B)\)

\( = \frac{4}{{13}} \times \frac{5}{{13}}\)     (M1)


Note: Award (M1) for product of two fractions, decimals or percentages.


\({\rm{P}}(A \cap B) = \frac{{20}}{{169}} (= 0.118)\)     (A1)     (C2)

[2 marks]

b.

\(\frac{7}{{13}} = \frac{4}{{13}} + \frac{5}{{13}} - {\rm{P}}(A \cap B)\)     (M1)(M1)


Notes: Award (M1) for \(\frac{4}{{13}} + \frac{5}{{13}}\) seen, (M1) for subtraction of \(\frac{7}{{13}}\) shown.

OR

Award (M1) for Venn diagram with 2 intersecting circles, (A1) for correct probabilities in diagram.


\({\rm{P}}(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{{13}}( = 0.154)\)     (A1)     (C3)

[3 marks]

c.

Examiners report

This question proved to be difficult with many candidates unaware of the significance of mutually exclusive events in probability. A significant number gave the answer to (b) as the answer to (a).

a.

This question proved to be difficult with many candidates unaware of the significance of mutually exclusive events in probability. A significant number gave the answer to (b) as the answer to (a).

b.

This question proved to be difficult with many candidates unaware of the significance of mutually exclusive events in probability.

This part proved to be difficult for some but most of the candidates who used the formula were able to achieve full marks. Very few candidates used Venn diagrams to answer this question.

c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Logic, sets and probability » 3.7 » Probability of combined events, mutually exclusive events, independent events.
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