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Date May 2017 Marks available 1 Reference code 17M.1.sl.TZ2.10
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ2
Command term Write down Question number 10 Adapted from N/A

Question

The Home Shine factory produces light bulbs, 7% of which are found to be defective.

Francesco buys two light bulbs produced by Home Shine.

The Bright Light factory also produces light bulbs. The probability that a light bulb produced by Bright Light is not defective is a.

Deborah buys three light bulbs produced by Bright Light.

Write down the probability that a light bulb produced by Home Shine is not defective.

[1]
a.

Find the probability that both light bulbs are not defective.

[2]
b.i.

Find the probability that at least one of Francesco’s light bulbs is defective.

[2]
b.ii.

Write down an expression, in terms of a, for the probability that at least one of Deborah’s three light bulbs is defective.

[1]
c.

Markscheme

0.93 (93%)     (A1)     (C1)

[1 mark]

a.

0.93×0.93     (M1)

 

Note:     Award (M1) for squaring their answer to part (a).

 

0.865 (0.8649; 86.5%)     (A1)(ft)     (C2)

 

Notes:     Follow through from part (a).

Accept 0.86 (unless it follows 93100×9299).

 

[2 marks]

b.i.

10.8649     (M1)

 

Note:     Follow through from their answer to part (b)(i).

 

OR

0.07×0.07+2×(0.07×0.93)     (M1)

 

Note:     Follow through from part (a).

 

0.135 (0.1351; 13.5%)     (A1)(ft)     (C2)

[2 marks]

b.ii.

1a3     (A1)     (C1)

 

Note:     Accept 3a2(1a)+3a(1a)2+(1a)3 or equivalent.

 

[1 mark]

c.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.i.
[N/A]
b.ii.
[N/A]
c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Logic, sets and probability » 3.7 » Probability of combined events, mutually exclusive events, independent events.
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