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Date November 2016 Marks available 4 Reference code 16N.1.sl.TZ0.12
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ0
Command term Find Question number 12 Adapted from N/A

Question

On a work day, the probability that Mr Van Winkel wakes up early is 45.

If he wakes up early, the probability that he is on time for work is p.

If he wakes up late, the probability that he is on time for work is 14.

The probability that Mr Van Winkel arrives on time for work is 35.

Complete the tree diagram below.

N16/5/MATSD/SP1/ENG/TZ0/12.a

[2]
a.

Find the value of p.

[4]
b.

Markscheme

N16/5/MATSD/SP1/ENG/TZ0/12.a/M     (A1)(A1)     (C2)

 

Note:     Award (A1) for each correct pair of probabilities.

 

[2 marks]

a.

45p+15×14=35     (A1)(ft)(M1)(M1)

 

Note:     Award (A1)(ft) for two correct products from part (a), (M1) for adding their products, (M1) for equating the sum of any two probabilities to 35.

 

(p=) 1116 (0.688, 0.6875)    (A1)(ft)     (C4)

 

Note:     Award the final (A1)(ft) only if 0. Follow through from part (a).

 

[4 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Logic, sets and probability » 3.7 » Probability of combined events, mutually exclusive events, independent events.
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