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Date November 2015 Marks available 3 Reference code 15N.2.sl.TZ0.10
Level SL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ0
Command term Find Question number 10 Adapted from N/A

Question

The masses of watermelons grown on a farm are normally distributed with a mean of \(10\) kg.

The watermelons are classified as small, medium or large.

A watermelon is small if its mass is less than \(4\) kg. Five percent of the watermelons are classified as small.

Find the standard deviation of the masses of the watermelons.

[4]
a.

The following table shows the percentages of small, medium and large watermelons grown on the farm.

A watermelon is large if its mass is greater than \(w\) kg.

Find the value of \(w\).

[2]
b.

All the medium and large watermelons are delivered to a grocer.

The grocer selects a watermelon at random from this delivery. Find the probability that it is medium.

[3]
c.

All the medium and large watermelons are delivered to a grocer.

The grocer sells all the medium watermelons for $1.75 each, and all the large watermelons for $3.00 each. His costs on this delivery are $300, and his total profit is $150. Find the number of watermelons in the delivery.

[5]
d.

Markscheme

finding standardized value for 4 kg (seen anywhere)     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\;z =  - 1.64485\)

attempt to standardize     (M1)

eg\(\;\;\;\sigma  = \frac{{x - \mu }}{z},{\text{ }}\frac{{4 - 10}}{\sigma }\)

correct substitution     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\; - 1.64 = \frac{{4 - 10}}{\sigma },{\text{ }}\frac{{4 - 10}}{{ - 1.64}}\)

\(\sigma  = 3.64774\)

\(\sigma  = 3.65\)     A1     N2

[4 marks]

a.

valid approach     (M1)

eg\(\;\;\;1 - p,{\text{ 0.62, }}\frac{{w - 10}}{{3.65}} = 0.305\)

\(w = 11.1143\)

\(w = 11.1\)     A1     N2

[2 marks]

b.

attempt to restrict melon population     (M1)

eg\(\;\;\;\)\(95\% \) are delivered, \({\text{P}}({\text{medium}}|{\text{delivered}}),{\text{ }}57 + 38\)

correct probability for medium watermelons     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\;\frac{{0.57}}{{0.95}}\)

\(\frac{{57}}{{95}},{\text{ }}0.6,{\text{ }}60\% \)     A1     N3

[3 marks]

c.

proportion of large watermelons (seen anywhere)     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\;{\text{P(large)}} = 0.4,{\text{ }}40\% \)

correct approach to find total sales (seen anywhere)     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\;150 = {\text{sales}} - 300,{\text{ total sales}} = \$ 450\)

correct expression     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\;1.75(0.6x) + 3(0.4x),{\text{ }}1.75(0.6) + 3(0.4)\)

evidence of correct working     (A1)

eg\(\;\;\;1.75(0.6x) + 3(0.4x) = 450,{\text{ }}2.25x = 450\)

200 watermelons in the delivery     A1     N2

 

Notes:     If candidate answers 0.57 in part (c), the FT values are \({\text{P(large)}} = 0.43\) and 197 watermelons. Award FT marks if working shown.

Award N0 for 197.

d.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
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b.
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c.
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d.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Conditional probability; the definition \(P\left( {\left. A \right|B} \right) = \frac{{P\left( {A\mathop \cap \nolimits B} \right)}}{{P\left( B \right)}}\) .
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