Date | May 2012 | Marks available | 1 | Reference code | 12M.3sp.hl.TZ0.2 |
Level | HL only | Paper | Paper 3 Statistics and probability | Time zone | TZ0 |
Command term | Deduce | Question number | 2 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
The random variable X has a geometric distribution with parameter p .
Show that \({\text{P}}(X \leqslant n) = 1 - {(1 - p)^n},{\text{ }}n \in {\mathbb{Z}^ + }\) .
Deduce an expression for \({\text{P}}(m < X \leqslant n)\,,{\text{ }}m\,,{\text{ }}n \in {\mathbb{Z}^ + }\) and m < n .
Given that p = 0.2, find the least value of n for which \({\text{P}}(1 < X \leqslant n) > 0.5\,,{\text{ }}n \in {\mathbb{Z}^ + }\) .
Markscheme
\({\text{P}}(X \leqslant n) = \sum\limits_{{\text{i}} = 1}^n {{\text{P}}(X = {\text{i}}) = \sum\limits_{{\text{i}} = 1}^n {p{q^{{\text{i}} - 1}}} } \) M1A1
\( = p\frac{{1 - {q^n}}}{{1 - q}}\) A1
\( = 1 - {(1 - p)^n}\) AG
[3 marks]
\({(1 - p)^m} - {(1 - p)^n}\) A1
[1 mark]
attempt to solve \(0.8 - {(0.8)^n} > 0.5\) M1
obtain n = 6 A1
[2 marks]
Examiners report
In part (a) some candidates thought that the geometric distribution was continuous, so attempted to integrate the pdf! Others, less seriously, got the end points of the summation wrong.
In part (b) It was very disappointing that may candidates, who got an incorrect answer to part (a), persisted with their incorrect answer into this part.
In part (a) some candidates thought that the geometric distribution was continuous, so attempted to integrate the pdf! Others, less seriously, got the end points of the summation wrong.
In part (b) It was very disappointing that may candidates, who got an incorrect answer to part (a), persisted with their incorrect answer into this part.
In part (a) some candidates thought that the geometric distribution was continuous, so attempted to integrate the pdf! Others, less seriously, got the end points of the summation wrong.
In part (b) It was very disappointing that may candidates, who got an incorrect answer to part (a), persisted with their incorrect answer into this part.