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Date May Specimen Marks available 3 Reference code SPM.2.sl.TZ0.3
Level SL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ0
Command term Estimate Question number 3 Adapted from N/A

Question

The Brahma chicken produces eggs with weights in grams that are normally distributed about a mean of 55 g with a standard deviation of 7 g. The eggs are classified as small, medium, large or extra large according to their weight, as shown in the table below.

Sketch a diagram of the distribution of the weight of Brahma chicken eggs. On your diagram, show clearly the boundaries for the classification of the eggs.

[3]
a.

An egg is chosen at random. Find the probability that the egg is
(i)     medium;
(ii)    extra large.

[4]
b.

There is a probability of 0.3 that a randomly chosen egg weighs more than w grams.

Find w .

[2]
c.

The probability that a Brahma chicken produces a large size egg is 0.121. Frank’s Brahma chickens produce 2000 eggs each month.

Calculate an estimate of the number of large size eggs produced by Frank’s chickens each month.

[2]
d.

The selling price, in US dollars (USD), of each size is shown in the table below.

The probability that a Brahma chicken produces a small size egg is 0.388.

Estimate the monthly income, in USD, earned by selling the 2000 eggs. Give your answer correct to two decimal places.

[3]
e.

Markscheme

(A1) for normal curve with mean of 55 indicated
(A1) for three lines in approximately the correct position
(A1) for labels on the three lines     (A1)(A1)(A1)

a.

(i)     P(53Weight<63)=0.486 (0.485902)     (M1)(A1)(G2)


Note: Award (M1) for correct region indicated on labelled diagram.


(ii)    P(Weight>73)=0.00506 (0.00506402)     (M1)(A1)(G2)


Note: Award (M1) for correct region indicated on labelled diagram.

b.

P(Weight>w)=0.3     (M1)
w=58.7 (58.6708)     (A1)(G2)


Note: Award (M1) for correct region indicated on labelled diagram.

c.

Expected number of large size eggs

=2000(0.121)     (M1)
=242     (A1)(G2)

d.

Expected income
=2000×0.30×0.388+2000×0.50×0.486+2000×0.65×0.121+2000×0.80×0.00506     (M1)(M1)

Note: Award (M1) for their correct products, (M1) for addition of 4 terms.

 

=884.20 USD     (A1)(ft)(G3)

Note: Follow through from part (b).

e.

Examiners report

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b.
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d.
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e.

Syllabus sections

Topic 1 - Number and algebra » 1.2 » Approximation: decimal places, significant figures.
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