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Date November 2009 Marks available 3 Reference code 09N.1.sl.TZ0.9
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ0
Command term Complete Question number 9 Adapted from N/A

Question

The probability that it will snow tomorrow is 0.3.

If it snows tomorrow the probability that Chuck will be late for school is 0.8.

If it does not snow tomorrow the probability that Chuck will be late for school is 0.1.

Complete the tree diagram below.

[3]
a.

Find the probability that it does not snow tomorrow and Chuck is late for school.

[1]
b.

Find the probability that Chuck is late for school.

[2]
c.

Markscheme

     (A1)(A1)(A1)     (C3)


Note: Award (A1) for each correct pair.

 

[3 marks]

a.

\(0.7 \times 0.1\)

\( = 0.07(\frac{7}{{100}},{\text{ }}7\% )\)     (A1)(ft)     (C1)

[1 mark]

b.

\(0.3 \times 0.8 + 0.07\)     (M1)

\( = 0.31(\frac{{31}}{{100}},{\text{ }}31\% )\)     (A1)(ft)


Note: In (b) and (c) follow through from sensible answers only i.e. not a probability greater than one.     (C2)

 

[2 marks]

c.

Examiners report

This question was answered well.

a.

This question was answered well.

b.

A few students were unable to do part (c).

c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Logic, sets and probability » 3.7 » Use of tree diagrams, Venn diagrams, sample space diagrams and tables of outcomes.
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