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Date May 2017 Marks available 1 Reference code 17M.2.sl.TZ2.1
Level SL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ2
Command term Show that Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

In a school, all Mathematical Studies SL students were given a test. The test contained four questions, each one on a different topic from the syllabus. The quality of each response was classified as satisfactory or not satisfactory. Each student answered only three of the four questions, each on a separate answer sheet.

The table below shows the number of satisfactory and not satisfactory responses for each question.

M17/5/MATSD/SP2/ENG/TZ2/01

A \({\chi ^2}\) test is carried out at the 5% significance level for the data in the table.

The critical value for this test is 7.815.

If the teacher chooses a response at random, find the probability that it is a response to the Calculus question;

[2]
a.i.

If the teacher chooses a response at random, find the probability that it is a satisfactory response to the Calculus question;

[2]
a.ii.

If the teacher chooses a response at random, find the probability that it is a satisfactory response, given that it is a response to the Calculus question.

[2]
a.iii.

The teacher groups the responses by topic, and chooses two responses to the Logic question. Find the probability that both are not satisfactory.

[3]
b.

State the null hypothesis for this test.

[1]
c.

Show that the expected frequency of satisfactory Calculus responses is 12.

[1]
d.

Write down the number of degrees of freedom for this test.

[1]
e.

Use your graphic display calculator to find the \({\chi ^2}\) statistic for this data.

[2]
f.

State the conclusion of this \({\chi ^2}\) test. Give a reason for your answer.

[2]
g.

Markscheme

\(\frac{1}{5}{\text{ }}\left( {\frac{{18}}{{90}};{\text{ }}0.2;{\text{ }}20\% } \right)\)     (A1)(A1)(G2)

 

Note:     Award (A1) for correct numerator, (A1) for correct denominator.

 

[2 marks]

a.i.

\(\frac{1}{9}{\text{ }}\left( {\frac{{10}}{{90}};{\text{ }}0{\text{.}}\bar 1;{\text{ }}0.111111 \ldots ;{\text{ }}11.1\% } \right)\)     (A1)(A1)(G2)

 

Note:     Award (A1) for correct numerator, (A1) for correct denominator.

 

[2 marks]

a.ii.

\(\frac{5}{9}{\text{ }}\left( {\frac{{10}}{{18}};{\text{ }}0.\bar 5;{\text{ }}0.555556 \ldots ;{\text{ }}55.6\% } \right)\)     (A1)(A1)(G2)

 

Note:     Award (A1) for correct numerator, (A1) for correct denominator.

 

[2 marks]

a.iii.

\(\frac{6}{{20}} \times \frac{5}{{19}}\)     (A1)(M1)

 

Note:     Award (A1) for two correct fractions seen, (M1) for multiplying their two fractions.

 

\(\frac{3}{{38}}{\text{ }}\left( {\frac{{30}}{{380}};{\text{ }}0.0789473 \ldots ;{\text{ }}7.89\% } \right)\)     (A1)(G2)

[3 marks]

b.

\({{\text{H}}_0}\): quality (of response) and topic (from the syllabus) are independent     (A1)

 

Note:     Accept there is no association between quality (of response) and topic (from the syllabus). Do not accept “not related” or “not correlated” or “influenced”.

 

[1 mark]

c.

\(\frac{{18}}{{90}} \times \frac{{60}}{{90}} \times 90\)\(\,\,\,\)OR\(\,\,\,\)\(\frac{{18 \times 60}}{{90}}\)     (M1)

 

Note:     Award (M1) for correct substitution in expected value formula.

 

\(( = ){\text{ }}12\)     (AG)

 

Note:     The conclusion, \(( = ){\text{ }}12\), must be seen for the (A1) to be awarded.

 

[1 mark]

d.

3     (A1)

[1 mark]

e.

\((\chi _{calc}^2 = ){\text{ }}1.46{\text{ }}(1.46\overline {36} ;{\text{ }}1.46363 \ldots )\)     (G2)

[2 marks]

f.

\(1.46 < 7.815\)\(\,\,\,\)OR\(\,\,\,\)\(0.690688 \ldots  > 0.05\)     (R1)

the null hypothesis is not rejected     (A1)(ft)

OR

the quality of the response and the topic are independent     (A1)(ft)

 

Note:     Award (R1) for a correct comparison of either their \({\chi ^2}\) statistic to the \({\chi ^2}\) critical value or the correct \(p\)-value 0.690688… to the test level, award (A1)(ft) for the correct result from that comparison. Accept “\(\chi _{{\text{calc}}}^2 < \chi _{{\text{crit}}}^2\)” for the comparison, but only if their \(\chi _{{\text{calc}}}^2\) value is explicitly seen in part (f). Follow through from their answers to part (f) and part (c). Do not award (R0)(A1).

 

[2 marks]

g.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.i.
[N/A]
a.ii.
[N/A]
a.iii.
[N/A]
b.
[N/A]
c.
[N/A]
d.
[N/A]
e.
[N/A]
f.
[N/A]
g.

Syllabus sections

Topic 4 - Statistical applications » 4.4
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