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Date November 2010 Marks available 2 Reference code 10N.2.sl.TZ0.1
Level SL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ0
Command term Show that Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

Part A

100 students are asked what they had for breakfast on a particular morning. There were three choices: cereal (X) , bread (Y) and fruit (Z). It is found that

10 students had all three

17 students had bread and fruit only

15 students had cereal and fruit only

12 students had cereal and bread only

13 students had only bread

8 students had only cereal

9 students had only fruit

Part B

The same 100 students are also asked how many meals on average they have per day. The data collected is organized in the following table.

A \({\chi ^2}\) test is carried out at the 5 % level of significance.

Represent this information on a Venn diagram.

[4]
A.a.

Find the number of students who had none of the three choices for breakfast.

[2]
A.b.

Write down the percentage of students who had fruit for breakfast.

[2]
A.c.

Describe in words what the students in the set \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast.

[2]
A.d.

Find the probability that a student had at least two of the three choices for breakfast.

[2]
A.e.

Two students are chosen at random. Find the probability that both students had all three choices for breakfast.

[3]
A.f.

Write down the null hypothesis, H0, for this test.

[1]
B.a.

Write down the number of degrees of freedom for this test.

[1]
B.b.

Write down the critical value for this test.

[1]
B.c.

Show that the expected number of females that have more than 5 meals per day is 13, correct to the nearest integer.

[2]
B.d.

Use your graphic display calculator to find the \(\chi _{calc}^2\) for this data.

[2]
B.e.

Decide whether H0 must be accepted. Justify your answer.

[2]
B.f.

Markscheme

(A1) for rectangle and three intersecting circles

(A1) for 10, (A1) for 8, 13 and 9, (A1) for 12, 15 and 17     (A4)

[4 marks]

A.a.

100 – (9 +12 +13 +15 +10 +17 + 8) =16     (M1)(A1)(ft)(G2) 

Note: Follow through from their diagram.

[2 marks]

A.b.

\(\frac{{51}}{{100}}(0.51)\)     (A1)(ft)

= 51%     (A1)(ft)(G2)


Note: Follow through from their diagram.

[2 marks]

A.c.

Note: The following statements are correct. Please note that the connectives are important. It is not the same (had cereal) and (not bread) and (had cereal) or (not bread). The parentheses are not needed but are there to facilitate the understanding of the propositions.

 

(had cereal) and (did not have bread)

(had cereal only) or (had cereal and fruit only)

(had either cereal or (fruit and cereal)) and (did not have bread)     (A1)(A1)


Notes: If the statements are correct but the connectives are wrong then award at most (A1)(A0). For the statement (had only cereal) and (cereal and fruit) award (A1)(A0). For the statement had cereal and fruit award (A0)(A0).

[2 marks]

 

A.d.

\(\frac{{54}}{{100}}(0.54,{\text{ 54 % }})\)     (A1)(ft)(A1)(ft)(G2)


Note: Award (A1)(ft) for numerator, follow through from their diagram, (A1)(ft) for denominator. Follow through from total or denominator used in part (c).

[2 marks]

A.e.

\(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{9}{{99}} = \frac{1}{{110}}(0.00909,{\text{ 0}}{\text{.909 % }})\)     (A1)(ft)(M1)(A1)(ft)(G2)


Notes: Award (A1)(ft) for their correct fractions, (M1) for multiplying two fractions, (A1)(ft) for their correct answer. Answer 0.009 with no working receives no marks. Follow through from denominator in parts (c) and (e) and from their diagram.

[3 marks]

A.f.

H0 : The (average) number of meals per day a student has and gender are independent     (A1)


Note: For “independent” accept “not associated” but do not accept “not related” or “not correlated”.

[1 mark]

B.a.

2     (A1)

[1 mark]

B.b.

5.99 (accept 5.991)     (A1)(ft)


Note: Follow through from their part (b).

[1 mark]

B.c.

\(\frac{{28 \times 45}}{{100}} = 12.6 = 13\) or \(\frac{{28}}{{100}} \times \frac{{25}}{{100}} \times 100 = 12.6 = 13\)     (M1)(A1)(AG)


Notes: Award (M1) for correct formula and (A1) for correct substitution. Unrounded answer must be seen for the (A1) to be awarded.

[2 marks]

 

B.d.

0.0321      (G2)


Note: For 0.032 award (G1)(G1)(AP). For 0.03 with no working award (G0).

[2 marks]

B.e.

0.0321 < 5.99 or 0.984 > 0.05     (R1)

accept H0     (A1)(ft)


Note: If reason is incorrect both marks are lost, do not award (R0)(A1).

[2 marks]

B.f.

Examiners report

This question was in general well done. Candidates began the paper well by drawing the Venn diagram correctly. Some students omitted the rectangle (universal set) around the three circles. There were quite a few errors in (c) as some students forgot to convert their answers to percentages. Also describing in words what the students in \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast seemed to be difficult for the majority of the candidates. Some misread what Y was and even more missed the complement sign. However, the main problem in answering this question seemed to be the lack of knowledge in the relationship between set theory and logic (use of "and" and "or"). Combining probabilities caused problems to many. Common wrong answers were \(\frac{{10}}{{100}}\), \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{{10}}{{100}}\) or \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} + \frac{9}{{99}}\).

A.a.

This question was in general well done. Candidates began the paper well by drawing the Venn diagram correctly. Some students omitted the rectangle (universal set) around the three circles. There were quite a few errors in (c) as some students forgot to convert their answers to percentages. Also describing in words what the students in \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast seemed to be difficult for the majority of the candidates. Some misread what Y was and even more missed the complement sign. However, the main problem in answering this question seemed to be the lack of knowledge in the relationship between set theory and logic (use of "and" and "or"). Combining probabilities caused problems to many. Common wrong answers were \(\frac{{10}}{{100}}\), \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{{10}}{{100}}\) or \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} + \frac{9}{{99}}\).

A.b.

This question was in general well done. Candidates began the paper well by drawing the Venn diagram correctly. Some students omitted the rectangle (universal set) around the three circles. There were quite a few errors in (c) as some students forgot to convert their answers to percentages. Also describing in words what the students in \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast seemed to be difficult for the majority of the candidates. Some misread what Y was and even more missed the complement sign. However, the main problem in answering this question seemed to be the lack of knowledge in the relationship between set theory and logic (use of "and" and "or"). Combining probabilities caused problems to many. Common wrong answers were \(\frac{{10}}{{100}}\), \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{{10}}{{100}}\) or \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} + \frac{9}{{99}}\).

A.c.

This question was in general well done. Candidates began the paper well by drawing the Venn diagram correctly. Some students omitted the rectangle (universal set) around the three circles. There were quite a few errors in (c) as some students forgot to convert their answers to percentages. Also describing in words what the students in \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast seemed to be difficult for the majority of the candidates. Some misread what Y was and even more missed the complement sign. However, the main problem in answering this question seemed to be the lack of knowledge in the relationship between set theory and logic (use of "and" and "or"). Combining probabilities caused problems to many. Common wrong answers were \(\frac{{10}}{{100}}\), \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{{10}}{{100}}\) or \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} + \frac{9}{{99}}\).

A.d.

This question was in general well done. Candidates began the paper well by drawing the Venn diagram correctly. Some students omitted the rectangle (universal set) around the three circles. There were quite a few errors in (c) as some students forgot to convert their answers to percentages. Also describing in words what the students in \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast seemed to be difficult for the majority of the candidates. Some misread what Y was and even more missed the complement sign. However, the main problem in answering this question seemed to be the lack of knowledge in the relationship between set theory and logic (use of "and" and "or"). Combining probabilities caused problems to many. Common wrong answers were \(\frac{{10}}{{100}}\), \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{{10}}{{100}}\) or \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} + \frac{9}{{99}}\).

A.e.

This question was in general well done. Candidates began the paper well by drawing the Venn diagram correctly. Some students omitted the rectangle (universal set) around the three circles. There were quite a few errors in (c) as some students forgot to convert their answers to percentages. Also describing in words what the students in \(X \cap Y'\) had for breakfast seemed to be difficult for the majority of the candidates. Some misread what Y was and even more missed the complement sign. However, the main problem in answering this question seemed to be the lack of knowledge in the relationship between set theory and logic (use of "and" and "or"). Combining probabilities caused problems to many. Common wrong answers were \(\frac{{10}}{{100}}\), \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} \times \frac{{10}}{{100}}\) or \(\frac{{10}}{{100}} + \frac{9}{{99}}\).

A.f.

In general this part question was well answered. The major concerns of the examining team were the following:

B.a.

In general this part question was well answered. The major concerns of the examining team were the following:

B.b.

In general this part question was well answered. The major concerns of the examining team were the following:

B.c.

In general this part question was well answered. The major concerns of the examining team were the following:

B.d.

In general this part question was well answered. The major concerns of the examining team were the following:

B.e.

In general this part question was well answered. The major concerns of the examining team were the following:

B.f.

Syllabus sections

Topic 4 - Statistical applications » 4.4 » The \({\chi ^2}\) test for independence: formulation of null and alternative hypotheses; significance levels; contingency tables; expected frequencies; degrees of freedom; \(p\)-values.
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