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Date May 2009 Marks available 1 Reference code 09M.1.sl.TZ1.2
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ1
Command term Find Question number 2 Adapted from N/A

Question

The letters of the word PROBABILITY are written on 11 cards as shown below.


Two cards are drawn at random without replacement.

Let A be the event the first card drawn is the letter A.

Let B be the event the second card drawn is the letter B.

 

Find P(A) .

[1]
a.

Find P(B|A) .

[2]
b.

Find P(AB) .

[3]
c.

Markscheme

P(A)=111     A1    N1

[1 mark]

a.

P(B|A)=210     A2     N2

[2 marks]

b.

recognising that P(AB)=P(A)×P(B|A)     (M1) 

correct values     (A1)

e.g. P(AB)=111×210

P(AB)=2110     A1     N3 

[3 marks]

c.

Examiners report

Most candidates answered part (a) correctly.

a.

Few candidates used the concept of "B given A" to simply "write down" the answer of 210 . Instead, most reached for the formula in the booklet, with which few were successful.

b.

Few also made the connection that part (c) could be answered using both previous answers. Many found P(AB) correctly even when answering part (b) incorrectly, although some candidates did not decrease the denominator for the second event.

c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Statistics and probability » 5.5 » The probability of an event A is P(A)=n(A)n(U) .
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