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Date May 2012 Marks available 1 Reference code 12M.1.hl.TZ2.3
Level HL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ2
Command term Draw Question number 3 Adapted from N/A

Question

On a particular day, the probability that it rains is 25 . The probability that the “Tigers” soccer team wins on a day when it rains is 27 and the probability that they win on a day when it does not rain is 47.

Draw a tree diagram to represent these events and their outcomes.

[1]
a.

What is the probability that the “Tigers” soccer team wins?

[2]
b.

Given that the “Tigers” soccer team won, what is the probability that it rained on that day?

[2]
c.

Markscheme

let R be “it rains” and W be “the ‘Tigers’ soccer team win”     A1

[1 mark]

a.

P(W)=25×27+35×47     (M1)

=1635     A1

[2 marks]

b.

P(R|W)=25×271635     (M1)

=14     A1

[2 marks]

c.

Examiners report

This question was well answered in general.

a.

This question was well answered in general.

b.

This question was well answered in general.

c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.2 » Use of Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, counting principles and tables of outcomes to solve problems.

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