Date | November 2013 | Marks available | 3 | Reference code | 13N.2.hl.TZ0.5 |
Level | HL only | Paper | 2 | Time zone | TZ0 |
Command term | Find | Question number | 5 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
At the start of each week, Eric and Marina pick a night at random on which they will watch a movie.
If they choose a Saturday night, the probability that they watch a French movie is 79 and if they choose any other night the probability that they watch a French movie is 49.
Find the probability that they watch a French movie.
Given that last week they watched a French movie, find the probability that it was on a Saturday night.
Markscheme
P(F)=(17×79)+(67×49) (M1)(A1)
Note: Award M1 for the sum of two products.
=3163 (=0.4920…) A1
[3 marks]
Use of P(S|F)=P(S∩F)P(F) to obtain P(S|F)=17×793163. M1
Note: Award M1 only if the numerator results from the product of two probabilities.
=731 (=0.2258…) A1
[2 marks]
Examiners report
Both parts were very well done. In part (a), most candidates successfully used a tree diagram.
Both parts were very well done. In part (b), most candidates correctly used conditional probability considerations.