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Date May 2017 Marks available 3 Reference code 17M.2.hl.TZ2.3
Level HL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ2
Command term Calculate Question number 3 Adapted from N/A

Question

Packets of biscuits are produced by a machine. The weights X, in grams, of packets of biscuits can be modelled by a normal distribution where XN(μ, σ2). A packet of biscuits is considered to be underweight if it weighs less than 250 grams.

The manufacturer makes the decision that the probability that a packet is underweight should be 0.002. To do this μ is increased and σ remains unchanged.

The manufacturer is happy with the decision that the probability that a packet is underweight should be 0.002, but is unhappy with the way in which this was achieved. The machine is now adjusted to reduce σ and return μ to 253.

Given that μ=253 and σ=1.5 find the probability that a randomly chosen packet of biscuits is underweight.

[2]
a.

Calculate the new value of μ giving your answer correct to two decimal places.

[3]
b.

Calculate the new value of σ.

[2]
c.

Markscheme

P(X<250)=0.0228     (M1)A1

[2 marks]

a.

250μ1.5=2.878     (M1)(A1)

μ=254.32     A1

 

Notes:     Only award A1 here if the correct 2dp answer is seen. Award M0 for use of 1.52.

 

[3 marks]

b.

250253σ=2.878     (A1)

σ=1.04     A1

[2 marks]

c.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.
[N/A]
c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.7
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