Date | May 2017 | Marks available | 3 | Reference code | 17M.2.hl.TZ2.3 |
Level | HL only | Paper | 2 | Time zone | TZ2 |
Command term | Calculate | Question number | 3 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
Packets of biscuits are produced by a machine. The weights X, in grams, of packets of biscuits can be modelled by a normal distribution where X∼N(μ, σ2). A packet of biscuits is considered to be underweight if it weighs less than 250 grams.
The manufacturer makes the decision that the probability that a packet is underweight should be 0.002. To do this μ is increased and σ remains unchanged.
The manufacturer is happy with the decision that the probability that a packet is underweight should be 0.002, but is unhappy with the way in which this was achieved. The machine is now adjusted to reduce σ and return μ to 253.
Given that μ=253 and σ=1.5 find the probability that a randomly chosen packet of biscuits is underweight.
Calculate the new value of μ giving your answer correct to two decimal places.
Calculate the new value of σ.
Markscheme
P(X<250)=0.0228 (M1)A1
[2 marks]
250−μ1.5=−2.878… (M1)(A1)
⇒μ=254.32 A1
Notes: Only award A1 here if the correct 2dp answer is seen. Award M0 for use of 1.52.
[3 marks]
250−253σ=−2.878… (A1)
⇒σ=1.04 A1
[2 marks]