Date | May 2008 | Marks available | 6 | Reference code | 08M.2.hl.TZ2.11 |
Level | HL only | Paper | 2 | Time zone | TZ2 |
Command term | Find | Question number | 11 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
The distance travelled by students to attend Gauss College is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 6 km and standard deviation 1.5 km.
(i) Find the probability that the distance travelled to Gauss College by a randomly selected student is between 4.8 km and 7.5 km.
(ii) 15 % of students travel less than d km to attend Gauss College. Find the value of d.
At Euler College, the distance travelled by students to attend their school is modelled by a normal distribution with mean μμ km and standard deviation σσ km.
If 10 % of students travel more than 8 km and 5 % of students travel less than 2 km, find the value of μμ and of σσ .
The number of telephone calls, T, received by Euler College each minute can be modelled by a Poisson distribution with a mean of 3.5.
(i) Find the probability that at least three telephone calls are received by Euler College in each of two successive one-minute intervals.
(ii) Find the probability that Euler College receives 15 telephone calls during a randomly selected five-minute interval.
Markscheme
(i) P(4.8<X<7.5)=P(−0.8<Z<1)P(4.8<X<7.5)=P(−0.8<Z<1) (M1)
= 0.629 A1 N2
Note: Accept P(4.8⩽X⩽7.5)=P(−0.8⩽Z⩽1) .
(ii) Stating P(X<d)=0.15 or sketching an appropriately labelled diagram. A1
d−61.5=−1.0364… (M1)(A1)
d = (−1.0364...)(1.5) + 6 (M1)
= 4.45 (km) A1 N4
[7 marks]
Stating both P(X>8)=0.1 and P(X<2)=0.05 or sketching an appropriately labelled diagram. R1
Setting up two equations in μ and σ (M1)
8 = μ + (1.281…)σ and 2 = μ − (1.644…)σ A1
Attempting to solve for μ and σ (including by graphical means) (M1)
σ = 2.05 (km) and μ = 5.37 (km) A1A1 N4
Note: Accept μ = 5.36, 5.38 .
[6 marks]
(i) Use of the Poisson distribution in an inequality. M1
P(T⩾3)=1−P(T⩽2) (A1)
= 0.679... A1
Required probability is (0.679…)2=0.461 M1A1 N3
Note: Allow FT for their value of P(T⩾3) .
(ii) τ∼Po(17.5) A1
P(τ=15)=e−17.5(17.5)1515! (M1)
= 0.0849 A1 N2
[8 marks]
Examiners report
This question was generally well done despite a large proportion of candidates being awarded an accuracy penalty. Candidates found part (a) (i) to be quite straightforward and was generally done very well. In part (a) (ii), a number of candidates used d−61.5=1.0364… instead of d−61.5=−1.0364… . In part (b), a pleasingly high number of candidates were able to set up and solve a pair of simultaneous linear equations to correctly find the values of μ and σ. Some candidates prematurely rounded intermediate results. In part (c), a number of candidates were unable to express a correct Poisson inequality. Common errors included stating P(T⩾3)=1−P(T⩽3) and using μ=7.
This question was generally well done despite a large proportion of candidates being awarded an accuracy penalty. Candidates found part (a) (i) to be quite straightforward and was generally done very well. In part (a) (ii), a number of candidates used d−61.5=1.0364… instead of d−61.5=−1.0364… . In part (b), a pleasingly high number of candidates were able to set up and solve a pair of simultaneous linear equations to correctly find the values of μ and σ. Some candidates prematurely rounded intermediate results. In part (c), a number of candidates were unable to express a correct Poisson inequality. Common errors included stating P(T⩾3)=1−P(T⩽3) and using μ=7.
This question was generally well done despite a large proportion of candidates being awarded an accuracy penalty. Candidates found part (a) (i) to be quite straightforward and was generally done very well. In part (a) (ii), a number of candidates used d−61.5=1.0364… instead of d−61.5=−1.0364… . In part (b), a pleasingly high number of candidates were able to set up and solve a pair of simultaneous linear equations to correctly find the values of μ and σ. Some candidates prematurely rounded intermediate results. In part (c), a number of candidates were unable to express a correct Poisson inequality. Common errors included stating P(T⩾3)=1−P(T⩽3) and using μ=7.