Date | November 2014 | Marks available | 3 | Reference code | 14N.2.hl.TZ0.2 |
Level | HL only | Paper | 2 | Time zone | TZ0 |
Command term | Find | Question number | 2 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
The wingspans of a certain species of bird can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 60.2 cm and standard deviation 2.4 cm.
According to this model, 99% of wingspans are greater than x cm.
Find the value of x.
In a field experiment, a research team studies a large sample of these birds. The wingspans of each bird are measured correct to the nearest 0.1 cm.
Find the probability that a randomly selected bird has a wingspan measured as 60.2 cm.
Markscheme
P(X>x)=0.99(=P(X<x)=0.01) (M1)
⇒x=54.6 (cm) A1
[2 marks]
P(60.15≤X≤60.25) (M1)(A1)
=0.0166 A1
[3 marks]
Total [5 marks]
Examiners report
Many candidates did not use the symmetry of the normal curve correctly. Many, for example, calculated the value of x for which P(X<x)=0.99 rather than P(X<x)=0.01.
Most candidates did not recognize that the required probability interval was P(60.15≤X≤60.25). A large number of candidates simply stated that P(X=60.2)=0.166. Some candidates used P(60.1≤X≤60.3) while a number of candidates bizarrely used probability intervals not centred on 60.2, for example, P(60.15≤X≤60.24).