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Date May 2010 Marks available 2 Reference code 10M.1.sl.TZ2.8
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ2
Command term Find Question number 8 Adapted from N/A

Question

Let \({\text{P}}(A) = 0.5\), \({\text{P}}(B) = 0.6\) and \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = 0.8\).

Find \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\).

[2]
a.

Find \({\text{P}}(A|B)\).

[2]
b.

Decide whether A and B are independent events. Give a reason for your answer.

[2]
c.

Markscheme

\(0.8 = 0.5 + 0.6 - {\text{P}}(A \cap B)\)     (M1)
\({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = 0.3\)     (A1)     (C2)

 

Note: Award (M1) for correct substitution, (A1) for correct answer.

 

[2 marks]

a.

\({\text{P}}(A|B) = \frac{{0.3}}{{0.6}}\)     (M1)

= 0.5     (A1)(ft)     (C2)

 

Note: Award (M1) for correct substitution in conditional probability formula. Follow through from their answer to part (a), provided probability is not greater than one.

 

[2 marks]

b.

\({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = {\text{P}}(A) \times {\text{P}}(B)\) or 0.3 = 0.5 × 0.6     (R1)

OR

\({\text{P}}(A|B) = {\text{P}}(A)\)     (R1)

they are independent. (Yes)     (A1)(ft)     (C2)

 

Note: Follow through from their answers to parts (a) or (b).

Do not award (R0)(A1).

 

[2 marks]

c.

Examiners report

Parts (a) and (b) were well answered but very few candidates could provide a reason for the independence of A and B. A number of candidates confused independent and mutually exclusive events.

a.

Parts (a) and (b) were well answered but very few candidates could provide a reason for the independence of A and B. A number of candidates confused independent and mutually exclusive events.

b.

Parts (a) and (b) were well answered but very few candidates could provide a reason for the independence of A and B. A number of candidates confused independent and mutually exclusive events.

c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Logic, sets and probability » 3.5 » Basic concepts of set theory: elements \(x \in A\), subsets \(A \subset B\); intersection \(A\mathop \cap \nolimits B\); union \(A\mathop \cup \nolimits B\); complement \({A'}\) .
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