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Date November 2008 Marks available 1 Reference code 08N.1.sl.TZ0.5
Level SL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ0
Command term Write down Question number 5 Adapted from N/A

Question

Let A and B be independent events, where \({\text{P}}(A) = 0.6\) and \({\text{P}}(B) = x\) .

Write down an expression for \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\) .

[1]
a.

Given that \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = 0.8\) ,

(i)     find x ;

(ii)    find \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\) .

[4]
b(i) and (ii).

Hence, explain why A and B are not mutually exclusive.

[1]
c.

Markscheme

\({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = {\text{P}}(A) \times {\text{P}}(B)( = 0.6x)\)    A1     N1

[1 mark]

a.

(i) evidence of using \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = {\text{P}}(A) + {\text{P}}(B) - {\text{P}}(A){\text{P}}(B)\)     (M1)

correct substitution     A1

e.g. \(0.8 = 0.6 + x - 0.6x\) , \(0.2 = 0.4x\)

\(x = 0.5\)    A1     N2

(ii) \({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = 0.3\)     A1     N1

[4 marks]

b(i) and (ii).

valid reason, with reference to \({\text{P(}}A \cap B)\)     R1     N1

e.g. \({\text{P(}}A \cap B) \ne 0\)

[1 mark]

c.

Examiners report

This question was well done by most candidates.

a.

This question was well done by most candidates. When errors were made, candidates confused the terms "independent" and "mutually exclusive" and did not subtract the intersection when finding \({\text{P}}(A \cup B)\) .

b(i) and (ii).

Candidates should also be aware of the command term "hence" used in part (c) where they were expected to provide a reason that involved \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\) from their work in part (b). It seemed that many turned to the formula in the booklet instead of considering the conceptual meaning of the term.

c.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Independent events; the definition \(P\left( {\left. A \right|B} \right) = P\left( A \right) = P\left( {\left. A \right|B'} \right)\) .
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