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Date November 2013 Marks available 4 Reference code 13N.2.sl.TZ0.4
Level SL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ0
Command term Find Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

Two events \(A\) and \(B\) are such that \({\text{P}}(A) = 0.2\) and \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = 0.5\).

Given that \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive, find \({\text{P}}(B)\).

[2]
a.

Given that \(A\) and \(B\) are independent, find \({\text{P}}(B)\).

[4]
b.

Markscheme

correct approach     (A1)

eg     \(0.5 = 0.2 + {\text{P}}(B),{\text{ P}}(A \cap B) = 0\)

\({\text{P}}(B) = 0.3\)     A1     N2

[2 marks]

a.

Correct expression for \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\) (seen anywhere)     A1

eg     \({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = 0.2{\text{P}}(B),{\text{ }}0.2x\)

attempt to substitute into correct formula for \({\text{P}}(A \cup B)\)     (M1)

eg     \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = 0.2 + {\text{P}}(B) - {\text{P}}(A \cap B),{\text{ P}}(A \cup B) = 0.2 + x - 0.2x\)

correct working     (A1)

eg     \(0.5 = 0.2 + {\text{P}}(B) - 0.2{\text{P}}(B),{\text{ }}0.8x = 0.3\)

\({\text{P}}(B) = \frac{3}{8}{\text{ }}( = 0.375,{\text{ exact}})\)     A1     N3

[4 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Independent events; the definition \(P\left( {\left. A \right|B} \right) = P\left( A \right) = P\left( {\left. A \right|B'} \right)\) .
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