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Date May 2021 Marks available 4 Reference code 21M.2.SL.TZ2.8
Level Standard Level Paper Paper 2 Time zone Time zone 2
Command term Find Question number 8 Adapted from N/A

Question

The flight times, T minutes, between two cities can be modelled by a normal distribution with a mean of 75 minutes and a standard deviation of σ minutes.

On a particular day, there are 64 flights scheduled between these two cities.

Given that 2% of the flight times are longer than 82 minutes, find the value of σ.

[3]
a.

Find the probability that a randomly selected flight will have a flight time of more than 80 minutes.

[2]
b.

Given that a flight between the two cities takes longer than 80 minutes, find the probability that it takes less than 82 minutes.

[4]
c.

Find the expected number of flights that will have a flight time of more than 80 minutes.

[3]
d.

Find the probability that more than 6 of the flights on this particular day will have a flight time of more than 80 minutes.

[3]
e.

Markscheme

use of inverse normal to find z-score                   (M1)

z=2.0537

2.0537=82-75σ                  (A1)

σ=3.408401

σ=3.41                    A1

 

[3 marks]

a.

evidence of identifying the correct area under the normal curve               (M1)

PT>80=0.071193

PT>80=0.0712                   A1

 

[2 marks]

b.

recognition that P80<T<82 is required              (M1)

PT<82T>80=P80<T<82PT>80=0.0511930.071193              (M1)(A1)

=0.719075

=0.719                   A1

 

[4 marks]

c.

recognition of binomial probability             (M1)

X~B64,0.071193  or  EX=64×0.071193              (A1)

EX=4.556353

EX=4.56   (flights)                  A1

 

[3 marks]

d.

PX>6=PX7=1-PX6             (M1)

=1-0.83088             (A1)

=0.1691196

=0.169                A1

 

[3 marks]

e.

Examiners report

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e.

Syllabus sections

Topic 4—Statistics and probability » SL 4.9—Normal distribution and calculations
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Topic 4—Statistics and probability » SL 4.11—Conditional and independent probabilities, test for independence
Topic 4—Statistics and probability » SL 4.12—Z values, inverse normal to find mean and standard deviation
Topic 4—Statistics and probability

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