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Date May 2015 Marks available 4 Reference code 15M.2.hl.TZ2.4
Level HL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ2
Command term Determine and Find Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

Emma acquires a new cell phone for her birthday and receives texts from her friends. It is assumed that the daily number of texts Emma receives follows a Poisson distribution with mean \(m = 5\).

(i)     Find the probability that on a certain day Emma receives more than \(7\) texts.

(ii)     Determine the expected number of days in a week on which Emma receives more than \(7\) texts.

[4]
a.

Find the probability that Emma receives fewer than \(30\) texts during a week.

[3]
b.

Markscheme

(i)     \(X \sim Po(5)\)

\({\text{P}}(X \ge 8) = 0.133\)     (M1)A1

(ii)     \(7 \times 0.133 \ldots \)     M1

\( \approx 0.934{\text{ days}}\)     A1

 

Note:     Accept “\(1\) day”.

[4 marks]

a.

\(7 \times 5 = 35\;\;\;\left( {Y \sim Po(35)} \right)\)     (A1)

\({\text{P}}(Y \le 29) = 0.177\)     (M1)A1

[3 marks]

Total [7 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Poisson distribution, its mean and variance.
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