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Date May 2012 Marks available 2 Reference code 12M.2.hl.TZ2.5
Level HL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ2
Command term Find Question number 5 Adapted from N/A

Question

The random variable X has the distribution \({\text{Po}}(m)\) .

Given that \({\text{P}}(X = 5) = {\text{P}}(X = 3) + {\text{P}}(X = 4)\), find

the value of m ;

[3]
a.

P (X > 2) .

[2]
b.

Markscheme

\({\text{P}}(X = 5) = {\text{P}}(X = 3) + {\text{P}}(X = 4)\)

\(\frac{{{{\text{e}}^{ - m}}{m^5}}}{{5!}} = \frac{{{{\text{e}}^{ - m}}{m^3}}}{{3!}} + \frac{{{{\text{e}}^{ - m}}{m^4}}}{{4!}}\)     M1(A1)

\({m^2} - 5m - 20 = 0\)

\( \Rightarrow m = \frac{{5 + \sqrt {105} }}{2} = (7.62)\)     A1

[3 marks]

a.

\({\text{P}}(X > 2) = 1 - {\text{P}}(X \leqslant 2)\)     (M1)

\( = 1 - 0.018...\)

\( = 0.982\)     A1

[2 marks]

b.

Examiners report

Again this proved to be a successful question for many candidates with a good proportion of wholly correct answers seen. It was good to see students making good use of the calculator.

a.

Again this proved to be a successful question for many candidates with a good proportion of wholly correct answers seen. It was good to see students making good use of the calculator.

b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Poisson distribution, its mean and variance.
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