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Date November 2017 Marks available 3 Reference code 17N.3sp.hl.TZ0.2
Level HL only Paper Paper 3 Statistics and probability Time zone TZ0
Command term Use and Determine Question number 2 Adapted from N/A

Question

Anne is a farmer who grows and sells pumpkins. Interested in the weights of pumpkins produced, she records the weights of eight pumpkins and obtains the following results in kilograms.

7.77.58.48.87.39.07.87.6

Assume that these weights form a random sample from a N(μ, σ2) distribution. 

 

Anne claims that the mean pumpkin weight is 7.5 kilograms. In order to test this claim, she sets up the null hypothesis H0:μ=7.5.

Determine unbiased estimates for μ and σ2.

[3]
a.

Use a two-tailed test to determine the p-value for the above results.

[3]
b.i.

Interpret your p-value at the 5% level of significance, justifying your conclusion.

[2]
b.ii.

Markscheme

UE of μ is 8.01 (=8.0125)     A1

UE of σ2 is 0.404     (M1)A1

 

Note:     Accept answers that round correctly to 2 sf.

 

Note:      Condone incorrect notation, ie, μ instead of UE of μ and σ2 instead of UE of σ2.

 

Note:     M0 for squaring 0.594 giving 0.354, M1A0 for failing to square 0.635

 

[3 marks]

a.

attempting to use the t-test     (M1)

p-value is 0.0566     A2

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 2 sf.

 

[3 marks]

b.i.

0.0566>0.05     R1

we accept the null hypothesis (mean pumpkin weight is 7.5 kg)     A1

 

Note:     Apply follow through on the candidate’s p-value.

 

Note:     Do not award A1 if R1 is not awarded.

 

[2 marks]

b.ii.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.i.
[N/A]
b.ii.

Syllabus sections

Topic 7 - Option: Statistics and probability » 7.6
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