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Date May 2017 Marks available 1 Reference code 17M.3sp.hl.TZ0.1
Level HL only Paper Paper 3 Statistics and probability Time zone TZ0
Command term State Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

A farmer sells bags of potatoes which he states have a mean weight of 7 kg . An inspector, however, claims that the mean weight is less than 7 kg . In order to test this claim, the inspector takes a random sample of 12 of these bags and determines the weight, x kg , of each bag. He finds that x=83.64; x2=583.05. You may assume that the weights of the bags of potatoes can be modelled by the normal distribution N(μ, σ2).

State suitable hypotheses to test the inspector’s claim.

[1]
a.

Find unbiased estimates of μ and σ2.

[3]
b.

Carry out an appropriate test and state the p-value obtained.

[4]
c.i.

Using a 10% significance level and justifying your answer, state your conclusion in context.

[2]
c.ii.

Markscheme

H0:μ=7, H1:μ<7     A1

[1 mark]

a.

ˉx=83.6412=6.97     A1

s2n1=583.0511 83.642132=0.0072     (M1)A1

[3 marks]

b.

t=6.9770.007212=1.22(474)     (M1)(A1)

degrees of freedom=11     (A1)

p - value=0.123     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.12.

 

[4 marks]

c.i.

because p>0.1     R1

the inspector’s claim is not supported (at the 10% level)

(or equivalent in context)     A1

 

Note:     Only award the A1 if the R1 has been awarded

 

[2 marks]

c.ii.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.
[N/A]
c.i.
[N/A]
c.ii.

Syllabus sections

Topic 7 - Option: Statistics and probability » 7.6
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