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Date November 2018 Marks available 4 Reference code 18N.1.bp.1
Level SL and HL Paper 1 Time zone
Command term Suggest Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

The graph shows a projected population pyramid for Japan in 2050.

Describe three characteristics of this projected population structure.

 

Characteristic 1:

 

Characteristic 2:

 

Characteristic 3:

 

[3]
a.

Estimate the difference, in millions, between the projected numbers of males and females in the 75–79 age group.

[1]
b.i.

Suggest two reasons for the difference estimated in (b)(i).

Reason 1:

 

Reason 2:

 

[4]
b.ii.

Suggest two reasons why governments need population projections.

Reason 1:

 

Reason 2:

 

[4]
c.

Markscheme

Any three valid, distinct and descriptive points of the structure for [3].
Quantification/use of data from the x/horizontal axis must be present for full marks.

Possible characteristics include:

Comments on rates (birth rates falling), trends (old age population growing) or life expectancy (females living longer), etc, are explanations as opposed to description and should not be credited.

a.

Approximately 0.5 million more females than males [1] (accept 0.4 to 0.6).

b.i.

Answers need to address why females live longer than males – they can be generic or specific to Japan.

Award [1] for each valid and distinct reason, and [1] for development and/or exemplification.

For example: Men tend to engage in more risky occupations (civilian) [1], eg mining, construction, thereby increasing their mortality rate [1].

Other possibilities include:

It is important that the two factors are distinct and NOT a similar reason developed twice.

b.ii.

In each case, award [1] for a valid reason, and [1] for further development/detail.

Possibilities include:

c.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.i.
[N/A]
b.ii.
[N/A]
c.

Syllabus sections

Last exams 2018 » Last exams 2018 - Core » Populations in transition » Population change
Last exams 2018 » Last exams 2018 - Core » Populations in transition
Last exams 2018 » Last exams 2018 - Core

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