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Date May 2010 Marks available 4 Reference code 10M.1.hl.TZ2.4
Level HL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ2
Command term Find Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

A biased coin is weighted such that the probability of obtaining a head is 47. The coin is tossed 6 times and X denotes the number of heads observed. Find the value of the ratio P(X=3)P(X=2).

Markscheme

recognition of XB(6,47)     (M1)

P(X=3)=(63)(47)3(37)3(=20×43×3376)     A1

P(X=2)=(63)(47)2(37)4(=15×42×3476)     A1

P(X=3)P(X=2)=8045(=169)     A1

[4 marks]

Examiners report

Many correct answers were seen to this and the majority of candidates recognised the need to use a Binomial distribution. A number of candidates, although finding the correct expressions for P(X=3) and P(X=4), were unable to perform the required simplification.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Binomial distribution, its mean and variance.
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