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Date May 2014 Marks available 7 Reference code 14M.2.hl.TZ2.6
Level HL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ2
Command term Find Question number 6 Adapted from N/A

Question

Six customers wait in a queue in a supermarket. A customer can choose to pay with cash or a credit card. Assume that whether or not a customer pays with a credit card is independent of any other customers’ methods of payment.

It is known that 60% of customers choose to pay with a credit card.

(a)     Find the probability that:

          (i)     the first three customers pay with a credit card and the next three pay with cash;

          (ii)     exactly three of the six customers pay with a credit card.

There are n customers waiting in another queue in the same supermarket. The probability that at least one customer pays with cash is greater than 0.995.

(b)     Find the minimum value of n.

Markscheme

(a)     (i)     0.63×0.43     (M1)

 

Note:     Award (M1) for use of the product of probabilities.

 

          =0.0138     A1

 

          (ii)     binomial distribution X:B(6, 0.6)     (M1)

 

Note:     Award (M1) for recognizing the binomial distribution.

 

          P(X=3)= 6C3(0.6)3(0.4)3

          =0.276     A1

 

Note:     Award (M1)A1 for 6C3×0.0138=0.276.

 

[4 marks]

 

(b)     Y:B(n, 0.4)

P(Y1)>0.995

1P(Y=0)>0.995

P(Y=0)<0.005     (M1)

 

Note:     Award (M1) for any of the last three lines. Accept equalities.

 

0.6n<0.005     (M1)

 

Note:     Award (M1) for attempting to solve 0.6n<0.005 using any method, eg, logs, graphically, use of solver. Accept an equality.

 

n>10.4

n=11     A1

[3 marks]

 

Total [7 marks]

Examiners report

[N/A]

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.6 » Binomial distribution, its mean and variance.
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