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Date November 2017 Marks available 2 Reference code 17N.3sp.hl.TZ0.4
Level HL only Paper Paper 3 Statistics and probability Time zone TZ0
Command term State Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

The random variables U, V follow a bivariate normal distribution with product moment correlation coefficient ρ.

A random sample of 12 observations on U, V is obtained to determine whether there is a correlation between U and V. The sample product moment correlation coefficient is denoted by r. A test to determine whether or not UV are independent is carried out at the 1% level of significance.

State suitable hypotheses to investigate whether or not U, V are independent.

[2]
a.

Find the least value of |r| for which the test concludes that ρ0.

[6]
b.

Markscheme

H0:ρ=0; H1:ρ0     A1A1

[2 marks]

a.

ν=10     (A1)

t0.005=3.16927     (M1)(A1)

we reject H0:ρ=0 if |t|>3.16927     (R1)

attempting to solve |r|101r2>3.16927 for |r|     M1

 

Note:     Allow = instead of >.

 

(least value of |r| is) 0.708 (3 sf)     A1

 

Note:     Award A1M1A0R1M1A0 to candidates who use a one-tailed test. Award A0M1A0R1M1A0 to candidates who use an incorrect number of degrees of freedom or both a one-tailed test and incorrect degrees of freedom.

 

Note: Possible errors are

10 DF 1-tail, t=2.763, least value = 0.658

11 DF 2-tail, t=3.105, least value = 0.684

11 DF 1-tail, t=2.718, least value = 0.634.

[6 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 7 - Option: Statistics and probability » 7.7 » Introduction to bivariate distributions.

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