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Date May 2016 Marks available 1 Reference code 16M.1.hl.TZ1.4
Level HL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ1
Command term Shade Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

Two events \(A\) and \(B\) are such that \({\text{P}}(A \cap B') = 0.2\) and \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = 0.9\).

On the Venn diagram shade the region \(A' \cap B'\).

M16/5/MATHL/HP1/ENG/TZ1/04

[1]
a.

Find \({\text{P}}(A'|B')\).

[4]
b.

Markscheme

M16/5/MATHL/HP1/ENG/TZ1/04/M     A1

[1 mark]

a.

\(P(A'|B') = \frac{{P(A' \cap B')}}{{P(B')}}\)    (M1)

\(P(B') = 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.3\)    (A1)

\(P(A' \cap B') = 0.1\)    (A1)

\(P(A'|B') = \frac{{0.1}}{{0.3}} = \frac{1}{3}\)    A1

[4 marks]

b.

Examiners report

Part (a) was well done.

a.

In part (b) some candidates were unable to write down the conditional probability formula. Some then failed to realise that part (a) was designed to help them work out \(P(A' \cap B')\) and instead incorrectly assumed independence.

b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.3 » Combined events; the formula for \(P\left( {A \cup B} \right)\) .

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