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Date May 2014 Marks available 6 Reference code 14M.1.hl.TZ2.1
Level HL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ2
Command term Find and State Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

Events \(A\) and \(B\) are such that \({\text{P}}(A) = \frac{2}{5},{\text{ P}}(B) = \frac{{11}}{{20}}\) and \({\text{P}}(A|B) = \frac{2}{{11}}\).

(a)     Find \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\).

(b)     Find \({\text{P}}(A \cup B)\).

(c)     State with a reason whether or not events \(A\) and \(B\) are independent.

Markscheme

(a)     \({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = {\text{P}}(A|B) \times P(B)\)

\({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{{11}} \times \frac{{11}}{{20}}\)     (M1)

\( = \frac{1}{{10}}\)     A1

[2 marks]

 

(b)     \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = {\text{P}}(A) + {\text{P}}(B) - {\text{P}}(A \cap B)\)

\({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = \frac{2}{5} + \frac{{11}}{{20}} - \frac{1}{{10}}\)     (M1)

\( = \frac{{17}}{{20}}\)     A1

[2 marks]

 

(c)     No – events A and B are not independent     A1

EITHER

\({\text{P}}(A|B) \ne {\text{P}}(A)\)     R1

\(\left( {\frac{2}{{11}} \ne \frac{2}{5}} \right)\)

OR

\({\text{P}}(A) \times {\text{P}}(B) \ne {\text{P}}(A \cap B)\)

\(\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{{11}}{{20}} = \frac{{11}}{{50}} \ne \frac{1}{{10}}\)     R1

 

Note:     The numbers are required to gain R1 in the ‘OR’ method only.

 

Note:     Do not award A1R0 in either method.

 

[2 marks]

 

Total [6 marks]

Examiners report

[N/A]

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.3 » Combined events; the formula for \(P\left( {A \cup B} \right)\) .

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