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Date May 2019 Marks available 6 Reference code 19M.2.SL.TZ0.1
Level Standard level Paper Paper 2 Time zone Time zone 0
Command term Prepare Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

Las Migas

Carolina plans to set up a bakery, Las Migas, in a small town. Competition from established bakeries is strong. Carolina has asked for a bank loan because her personal savings are insufficient. The bank manager requested the following information:

Carolina has no experience with financial forecasts but she estimated the figures for Las Migas for the first four months of operations. These figures are shown in Table 1.

Table 1: Estimated figures for Las Migas for the first four months of operations

[Source: © International Baccalaureate Organization 2019]

State two elements, other than a cash flow forecast, of a business plan.

[2]
a.

Prepare a cash flow forecast for Las Migas for the first four months of operations.

[6]
b.

Explain one problem that Las Migas may experience as a new business.

[2]
c.

Markscheme

Accept any other relevant, meaningful element (eg product portfolio).

N.B. If a candidate states mission and vision statements, award [1]. If a candidate states either vision or mission statement, award [1]. If a candidate states forecasted profit and loss account or forecasted balance sheet, award [1]. If a candidate states both forecasted profit and loss account and forecasted balance sheet, award [1].

Do not award a mark for information such as table of contents, name and address of business, index, etc. Also, do not accept executive personnel introduction, as in this case that would be totally irrelevant.

Award [1] for stating an appropriate element of a business plan (application not required), up to a maximum of [2].

a.

All figures in $

Accept slightly different headings / format.

N.B. Allow candidate own figure rule (OFR): if a candidate makes an error in one row and carries it through the remainder of the forecast that is only one error. This provision includes both mathematical errors and conceptual errors (for example, if a candidate has the interest in the incorrect month then candidates should only lose [1] for that error.

If a candidate misclassifies an item, like salary, as an inflow, consider that one error. Award [1] if the candidate conveys some understanding of what a cash flow forecast is, but otherwise the forecast is largely inaccurate, incomplete, or illegible.

If the candidate produces a cash flow as below:

Award a maximum of [5] if otherwise fully correct. Deduct any further marks according to the guidance above for mathematical and conceptual errors.

Award [2–3] if a cash flow forecast is drawn, but either it is not in a generally accepted format or it is untidy, and/or the forecast contains three or more errors, which could include, in addition to number placement problems and mathematical errors, conceptual errors (using the word “profit” rather than “net cash flow”) or omissions, such as not having a line like “closing balance” or totals.

Award [4–5] if the cash flow forecast is drawn essentially correctly and neatly in a generally accepted format, but there is one error for [5] or two errors for [4].

Award [6] if the cash flow forecast is drawn accurately and neatly in a generally accepted format, and is error free. If the candidate provides a heading of total inflow/outflow without using another heading above of inflow or outflow – do not penalise as an omission.

If the candidate omitted both headings of outflow/inflow = one error substituting the term “net profit in the cash flow forecast for “net cash flow” is inaccurate and [1] should be deducted. If the candidate has only one row for all cash outflows, deduct [1] from the total mark awarded.

Full working is not expected.

b.

N.B. Accept cash flow problems/a need for finance, referring to the cash flow forecast constructed.

Do not accept “legal issues”, as it is a reasonable assumption that Carolina is operating within the law.

Award [1] for a relevant generic problem identified or described and [1] for any additional explanation in context.

[2] cannot be awarded for the problem if the response lacks either explanation and / or application.

For example: for identification or a description of the problem with or without application [1].

For explanation of the problem with no application [1].

For explanation of the problem and application [2].

c.

Examiners report

Many candidates were successful (2 marks) on this question.

a.

Marks range from 0 to 6. Many candidates could do the cash flow accurately but some had no idea of what one was. Marks were lost for various reason including errors in classification, labelling, and mathematical problems.

b.

Most candidates performed well on this question about problems facing Las Migas as a new business.

c.

Syllabus sections

Last exams 2023 » Unit 3: Finance and accounts » 3.7 Cash flow » Cash flow forecasts
First exams 2024 » Unit 3: Finance and accounts » 3.7 Cash flow » 3.7.2 Cash flow forecasts
Last exams 2023 » Unit 3: Finance and accounts » 3.7 Cash flow
First exams 2024 » Unit 3: Finance and accounts » 3.7 Cash flow
Last exams 2023 » Unit 3: Finance and accounts
First exams 2024 » Unit 3: Finance and accounts
Last exams 2023
First exams 2024

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