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Date May 2017 Marks available 3 Reference code 17M.3sp.hl.TZ0.2
Level HL only Paper Paper 3 Statistics and probability Time zone TZ0
Command term Give and Find Question number 2 Adapted from N/A

Question

The continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function F given by F(x)={0,x<0xex1,0

Determine P(0.25 \leqslant X \leqslant 0.75);

[2]
a.i.

Determine the median of X.

[2]
a.ii.

Show that the probability density function f of X is given, for 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1, by

f(x) = (x + 1){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}.

[2]
b.i.

Hence determine the mean and the variance of X.

[4]
b.ii.

State the central limit theorem. 

[1]
c.i.

A random sample of 100 observations is obtained from the distribution of X. If \bar X denotes the sample mean, use the central limit theorem to find an approximate value of P(\bar X > 0.65). Give your answer correct to two decimal places.

[3]
c.ii.

Markscheme

P(0.25 \leqslant X \leqslant 0.75) = F(0.75) - F(0.25)     (M1)

= 0.466     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.466.

 

[2 marks]

a.i.

the median m satisfies F(m) = 0.5     (M1)

m = 0.685     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.685.

 

[2 marks]

a.ii.

f(x) = F’(x)     (M1)

= {{\text{e}}^{x - 1}} + x{{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}     A1

= (x + 1){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}     AG

[2 marks]

b.i.

\mu  = \int\limits_0^1 {x\left( {x + 1} \right){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}{\text{d}}x}     (M1)

= 0.632\,\,\,\left( {1 - \frac{1}{{\text{e}}}} \right)     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.632.

 

{\sigma ^2} = \int\limits_0^1 {x\left( {x + 1} \right){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}{\text{d}}x}  - 0.632{ \ldots ^2}     (M1)

= 0.0719\,\,\,\left( {\frac{6}{{\text{e}}} - 2 - \frac{1}{{{{\text{e}}^2}}}} \right)     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.072.

 

[4 marks]

b.ii.

the central limit theorem states that the mean of a large sample from any distribution (with a finite variance) is approximately normally distributed     A1

[1 mark]

c.i.

\bar X is approximately N(0.632 \ldots ,{\text{ }}0.000719 \ldots )     (M1)(A1)

P(\bar X > 0.65) = 0.25 (2 dps required)     A1

[3 marks]

 

 

 

c.ii.

Examiners report

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Syllabus sections

Topic 7 - Option: Statistics and probability » 7.4

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