Date | May 2017 | Marks available | 3 | Reference code | 17M.3sp.hl.TZ0.2 |
Level | HL only | Paper | Paper 3 Statistics and probability | Time zone | TZ0 |
Command term | Give and Find | Question number | 2 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
The continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function F given by F(x)={0,x<0xex−1,0⩽
Determine P(0.25 \leqslant X \leqslant 0.75);
Determine the median of X.
Show that the probability density function f of X is given, for 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1, by
f(x) = (x + 1){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}.
Hence determine the mean and the variance of X.
State the central limit theorem.
A random sample of 100 observations is obtained from the distribution of X. If \bar X denotes the sample mean, use the central limit theorem to find an approximate value of P(\bar X > 0.65). Give your answer correct to two decimal places.
Markscheme
P(0.25 \leqslant X \leqslant 0.75) = F(0.75) - F(0.25) (M1)
= 0.466 A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.466.
[2 marks]
the median m satisfies F(m) = 0.5 (M1)
m = 0.685 A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.685.
[2 marks]
f(x) = F’(x) (M1)
= {{\text{e}}^{x - 1}} + x{{\text{e}}^{x - 1}} A1
= (x + 1){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}} AG
[2 marks]
\mu = \int\limits_0^1 {x\left( {x + 1} \right){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}{\text{d}}x} (M1)
= 0.632\,\,\,\left( {1 - \frac{1}{{\text{e}}}} \right) A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.632.
{\sigma ^2} = \int\limits_0^1 {x\left( {x + 1} \right){{\text{e}}^{x - 1}}{\text{d}}x} - 0.632{ \ldots ^2} (M1)
= 0.0719\,\,\,\left( {\frac{6}{{\text{e}}} - 2 - \frac{1}{{{{\text{e}}^2}}}} \right) A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.072.
[4 marks]
the central limit theorem states that the mean of a large sample from any distribution (with a finite variance) is approximately normally distributed A1
[1 mark]
\bar X is approximately N(0.632 \ldots ,{\text{ }}0.000719 \ldots ) (M1)(A1)
P(\bar X > 0.65) = 0.25 (2 dps required) A1
[3 marks]