Date | May 2017 | Marks available | 1 | Reference code | 17M.3sp.hl.TZ0.2 |
Level | HL only | Paper | Paper 3 Statistics and probability | Time zone | TZ0 |
Command term | State | Question number | 2 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
The continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function F given by F(x)={0,x<0xex−1,0⩽x⩽1.1,x>2
Determine P(0.25⩽X⩽0.75);
Determine the median of X.
Show that the probability density function f of X is given, for 0⩽x⩽1, by
f(x)=(x+1)ex−1.
Hence determine the mean and the variance of X.
State the central limit theorem.
A random sample of 100 observations is obtained from the distribution of X. If ˉX denotes the sample mean, use the central limit theorem to find an approximate value of P(ˉX>0.65). Give your answer correct to two decimal places.
Markscheme
P(0.25⩽X⩽0.75)=F(0.75)−F(0.25) (M1)
=0.466 A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.466.
[2 marks]
the median m satisfies F(m)=0.5 (M1)
m=0.685 A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.685.
[2 marks]
f(x)=F′(x) (M1)
=ex−1+xex−1 A1
=(x+1)ex−1 AG
[2 marks]
μ=1∫0x(x+1)ex−1dx (M1)
=0.632(1−1e) A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.632.
σ2=1∫0x(x+1)ex−1dx−0.632…2 (M1)
=0.0719(6e−2−1e2) A1
Note: Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.072.
[4 marks]
the central limit theorem states that the mean of a large sample from any distribution (with a finite variance) is approximately normally distributed A1
[1 mark]
ˉX is approximately N(0.632…, 0.000719…) (M1)(A1)
P(ˉX>0.65)=0.25 (2 dps required) A1
[3 marks]