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Date May 2017 Marks available 1 Reference code 17M.3sp.hl.TZ0.2
Level HL only Paper Paper 3 Statistics and probability Time zone TZ0
Command term State Question number 2 Adapted from N/A

Question

The continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function F given by F(x)={0,x<0xex1,0x1.1,x>2

Determine P(0.25X0.75);

[2]
a.i.

Determine the median of X.

[2]
a.ii.

Show that the probability density function f of X is given, for 0x1, by

f(x)=(x+1)ex1.

[2]
b.i.

Hence determine the mean and the variance of X.

[4]
b.ii.

State the central limit theorem. 

[1]
c.i.

A random sample of 100 observations is obtained from the distribution of X. If ˉX denotes the sample mean, use the central limit theorem to find an approximate value of P(ˉX>0.65). Give your answer correct to two decimal places.

[3]
c.ii.

Markscheme

P(0.25X0.75)=F(0.75)F(0.25)     (M1)

=0.466     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.466.

 

[2 marks]

a.i.

the median m satisfies F(m)=0.5     (M1)

m=0.685     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.685.

 

[2 marks]

a.ii.

f(x)=F(x)     (M1)

=ex1+xex1     A1

=(x+1)ex1     AG

[2 marks]

b.i.

μ=10x(x+1)ex1dx    (M1)

=0.632(11e)     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.632.

 

σ2=10x(x+1)ex1dx0.6322     (M1)

=0.0719(6e21e2)     A1

 

Note:     Accept any answer that rounds correctly to 0.072.

 

[4 marks]

b.ii.

the central limit theorem states that the mean of a large sample from any distribution (with a finite variance) is approximately normally distributed     A1

[1 mark]

c.i.

ˉX is approximately N(0.632, 0.000719)     (M1)(A1)

P(ˉX>0.65)=0.25 (2 dps required)     A1

[3 marks]

 

 

 

c.ii.

Examiners report

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Syllabus sections

Topic 7 - Option: Statistics and probability » 7.4

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