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Date None Specimen Marks available 5 Reference code SPNone.2.hl.TZ0.2
Level HL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ0
Command term Determine Question number 2 Adapted from N/A

Question

The weights of apples, in grams, produced on a farm may be assumed to be normally distributed with mean μ and variance σ2 .

The farm manager selects a random sample of 10 apples and weighs them with the following results, given in grams.82,98,102,96,111,95,90,89,99,101

  (i)     Determine unbiased estimates for μ and σ2 .

  (ii)     Determine a 95% confidence interval for μ .

[5]
a.

The farm manager claims that the mean weight of apples is 100 grams but the buyer from the local supermarket claims that the mean is less than this. To test these claims, they select a random sample of 100 apples and weigh them. Their results are summarized as follows, where x is the weight of an apple in grams.x=9831;x2=972578

  (i)     State suitable hypotheses for testing these claims.

  (ii)     Determine the p-value for this test.

  (iii)     At the 1% significance level, state which claim you accept and justify your answer.

[5]
b.

Markscheme

(i)     from the GDC,

unbiased estimate for μ=96.3     A1

unbiased estimate for σ2=8.0282=64.5     (M1)A1

 

(ii)     95% confidence interval is [90.6, 102]     A1A1

Note: Accept 102.0 as the upper limit.

 

[5 marks]

a.

(i)     H0:μ=100;H1:μ<100     A1

 

(ii)     ¯x=98.31,Sn1=7.8446     (A1)

p-value =0.0168     A1

 

(iii)     the farm manager’s claim is accepted because 0.0168>0.01     A1R1

 

[5 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Statistics and probability » 3.3 » Unbiased estimators and estimates.

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