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Date November 2021 Marks available 2 Reference code 21N.2.HL.TZ0.4
Level Higher level Paper Paper 2 Time zone Time zone 0
Command term Define Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

New policies for Brazil

  1. From 2010 to 2014, Brazil experienced an economic boom with annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 8 %. During this time, the government spent heavily on social programmes (including cash transfers and pensions) that helped millions to get out of the poverty cycle. The poverty rate decreased from 22 % to 9 % and the Gini coefficient dropped from 0.581 to 0.515. However, the spending on social programmes resulted in fiscal deficits and a large public debt, which is currently 80 % of GDP.

  2. In 2015, Brazil entered a recession that lasted until 2017. During the recession GDP declined by an average of 3 % per year. By 2017, the number of Brazilians living in absolute poverty climbed by 13 %, inequality worsened, and unemployment was 12 %. From late 2017 to 2019, Brazil struggled to recover, with only approximately 1 % annual economic growth.

  3. Some economists blamed the slow recovery on the lack of investment in education and technology during the economic boom. According to those economists, investment in human and physical capital was necessary to improve productivity and decrease the reliance on the production of primary commodities. Historically, spending on education has not been effective in reaching the very poor.

  4. In 2018, a newly elected government, aiming to stimulate economic growth, introduced market-oriented policies. Since Brazil has a large economy, the new government believed that Brazil should take advantage of world trade and foreign investment to boost economic growth and achieve economic development.

  5. The new government aimed to increase the number of multinational corporations (MNCs) investing in Brazil through deregulation and trade liberalization. Furthermore, in 2020 several state-owned enterprises were privatized.

  6. Additionally, new labour market and tax reforms were introduced to create jobs, increase labour force participation and make it easier for firms to hire and fire workers. The reforms included increasing the retirement age and reducing transfer payments. However, trade unions claim that the reforms are unfair and will lead to the exploitation of workers.

  7. There is concern that deregulation, privatization and market liberalization will put pressure on Brazil’s environment, threaten sustainable development, and benefit only urban areas. In 2017, the government introduced “green GDP” as an official measure and committed to environmental protection goals. This is necessary because, for example, over 40 % of the population live in areas without access to a sewage system and manufacturing companies are dumping untreated wastewater in rivers, contributing to water pollution.

Define the term multinational corporations indicated in bold in the text (paragraph [5]).

[2]
a.i.

Define the term green GDP indicated in bold in the text (paragraph [7]).

[2]
a.ii.

Using a business cycle diagram from 2010 to 2019, explain how cyclical unemployment may have changed during the economic boom (paragraph [1]) and the recession (paragraph [2]) in Brazil.

[4]
b.

Using an externalities diagram, explain how manufacturing companies in Brazil are contributing to market failure (paragraph [7]). 

[4]
c.

Using information from the text/data and your knowledge of economics, evaluate the impact of market-oriented policies on economic development in Brazil.

[8]
d.

Markscheme

a.i.

a.ii.

Candidates who incorrectly label diagrams can be awarded a maximum of [3].

For a business cycle diagram, the vertical axis should be (Real) GDP, (Real) GDP growth/%, level of economic activity, (Real) output. The horizontal axis should be time and show dates from 2010–19. A title is not necessary.

If a student labels growth and shows a recession as positive the student can not be awarded full marks.

b.

Candidates who incorrectly label diagrams can be awarded a maximum of [3].

The y axis may be labelled price but could be costs or benefits and the x axis labelled quantity.

c.

Examiners should be aware that candidates may take a different approach which, if appropriate, should be rewarded.

Do not award beyond Level 2 if the answer does not contain reference to the information provided.

Command term
“Evaluate” requires candidates to make an appraisal by weighing up the strengths and limitations. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument.

Answers may include:

Economic analysis, focusing on economic development, may include:

Positive outcomes on economic development may include:

Negative outcomes on economic development may include:

Any reasonable evaluation.

d.

Examiners report

This question was quite well answered although some responses were somewhat vague. It is important to note that the answer must indicate that companies must have productive units in another country (not just shares in a company as some students suggested), whether it be in the form of direct physical investment or FDI.

a.i.

There were some excellent definitions of green GDP which were clear and precise. Some were, however, too imprecise. This included not fully understanding the meaning of the 'green' element of GDP, not defining GDP itself and a number not defining it in value terms.

a.ii.

Most candidates were able to construct an accurate business cycle diagram but a significant minority failed to use the data as required in the question, not incorporating the timeline. The term cyclical unemployment was generally understood but again in a significant minority of cases, the term was inaccurately defined. Some students provided a purely generic answer, which was totally unrelated to the text provided.

b.

There were some excellent answers, with explanations fully integrated and with accurate diagrams (although some students failed to identify the external costs / DWL). In other instances, the concept of market failure was not understood and the link to external costs was missing. This resulted in inaccurate diagrams (e.g. basic supply and demand) and explanations. Where there was basic understanding some candidates did not emphasise the impact of negative externalities on third parties which inevitably left a gap in the analysis. Again, some students provided a purely generic answer which did not relate to the case study, to manufacturing companies dumping wastewater into rivers.

c.

This in general was not well answered. Too many students did not fully understand the link between market-oriented policies and economic development. Most relied on listing market-oriented policies with very little reference to economic development. Some focused on economic growth which in isolation would attract few marks.

Too often there was limited analysis with some candidates relying on statements / unjustified assertions instead of reasoned arguments. Answers tended to be primarily descriptive and overly reliant on quotes / paraphrases of the extract with no or very little added value. At the other extreme some students made virtually no reference to the extract. In some cases, potentially relevant diagrams were drawn (e.g. poverty cycle diagram) but not used or explained in the context of the question.

d.

Syllabus sections

First exams 2022 » Unit 4: The global economy » 4.10 Economic growth and/or economic development strategies » 4.10.1 Strategies to promote economic growth and/or economic development
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First exams 2022 » Unit 4: The global economy » 4.10 Economic growth and/or economic development strategies
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