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Date November 2015 Marks available 2 Reference code 15N.2.hl.TZ0.1
Level HL only Paper 2 Time zone TZ0
Command term Hence and Show that Question number 1 Adapted from N/A

Question

The events \(A\) and \(B\) are such that \({\text{P}}(A) = 0.65\), \({\text{P}}(B) = 0.48\) and \({\text{P}}(A \cup B) = 0.818\).

Find \({\text{P}}(A \cap B)\).

[2]
a.

Hence show that the events \(A\) and \(B\) are independent.

[2]
b.

Markscheme

Note:     In Section A, where appropriate, accept answers that correctly round to 2 sf except in Q2, Q5(a) (ii), Q5(b) and Q8(a).

 

\(0.818 = 0.65 + 0.48 - {\text{P}}(A \cap B)\)     (M1)

\({\text{P}}(A \cap B) = 0.312\)     A1

[2 marks]

a.

\({\text{P}}(A)P(B) = 0.312\;\;\;( = 0.48 \times 0.65)\)     A1

since \({\text{P}}(A)P(B) = {\text{P}}(A \cap B)\) then \(A\) and \(B\) are independent     R1

 

Note:     Only award the R1 if numerical values are seen. Award A1R1 for a correct conditional probability approach.

[2 marks]

Total [4 marks]

b.

Examiners report

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a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 5 - Core: Statistics and probability » 5.4 » Independent events; the definition \(P\left( {\left. A \right|B} \right) = P\left( A \right) = P\left( {\left. A \right|B'} \right)\) .

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