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Date May 2014 Marks available 9 Reference code 14M.1.hl.TZ0.11
Level HL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ0
Command term Determine, State, and Write down Question number 11 Adapted from N/A

Question

The random variables X, Y follow a bivariate normal distribution with product moment correlation coefficient ρ. The following table gives a random sample from this distribution.


 

(a)     Determine the value of r, the product moment correlation coefficient of this sample.

(b)     (i)     Write down hypotheses in terms of ρ which would enable you to test whether or not X and Y are independent.

(ii)     Determine the p-value of the above sample and state your conclusion at the 5% significance level. Justify your answer.

(c)     (i)     Determine the equation of the regression line of y on x.

(ii)     State whether or not this equation can be used to obtain an accurate prediction of the value of y for a given value of x. Give a reason for your answer.

Markscheme

(a)     r=0.163     A2

[2 marks]

 

(b)     (i)     H0:ρ=0:H1:ρ0     A1

(ii)     t=rn21r2=0.468     (A1)

DF=8     (A1)

p-value=2×0.326=0.652   A1

since 0.652>0.05, we accept H0     R1

 

Note: Award (A1)(A1)A0 if the p-value is given as 0.326 without prior working.

 

Note: Follow through their p-value for the R1.

 

[5 marks]

 

(c)     (i)     y=0.257x+5.22     A1

 

Note: Accept answers which round to –0.26 and 5.2.

 

(ii)     no, because X and Y have been shown to be independent (or equivalent)     A1

[2 marks]

Examiners report

[N/A]

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Statistics and probability » 3.7 » Introduction to bivariate distributions.

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