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Date None Specimen Marks available 8 Reference code SPNone.1.hl.TZ0.4
Level HL only Paper 1 Time zone TZ0
Command term Find Question number 4 Adapted from N/A

Question

The weights of potatoes in a shop are normally distributed with mean \(98\) grams and standard deviation \(16\) grams.

The shopkeeper places \(100\) randomly chosen potatoes on a weighing machine. Find the probability that their total weight exceeds \(10\) kilograms.

[3]
a.

Find the minimum number of randomly selected potatoes which are needed to ensure that their total weight exceeds \(10\) kilograms with probability greater than \(0.95\).

[8]
b.

Markscheme

let \(T\) denote the total weight, then

\(T \sim N(9800,25600)\)     (M1)(A1)

\({\rm{P}}(T > 10000) = 0.106\)     A1

[3 marks]

a.

let there be \(n\) potatoes, in this case,

\(T \sim {\rm{N}}(98n,256n)\)     A1

we require

\({\rm{P}}(T > 10000) > 0.95\)     (M1)

or equivalently

\({\rm{P}}(T \le 10000) < 0.05\)     A1

standardizing,

\({\rm{P}}\left( {Z \le \frac{{10000 - 98n}}{{16\sqrt n }}} \right) < 0.05\)     A1

\(\frac{{10000 - 98n}}{{16\sqrt n }} < - 1.6449 \ldots \)     (A1)

\(98n - 26.32\sqrt n  - 10000 > 0\)     A1

solving the corresponding equation, \(n = 104.7 \ldots \)     (A1)

the required minimum value is \(105\)     A1

Note: Part (b) could also be solved using SOLVER and normalcdf, or by trial and improvement.

Note: Allow the use of \( = \) instead of \( < \) and \( > \) throughout.

[8 marks]

b.

Examiners report

[N/A]
a.
[N/A]
b.

Syllabus sections

Topic 3 - Statistics and probability » 3.2 » Linear transformation of a single random variable.

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