Date | May 2011 | Marks available | 6 | Reference code | 11M.1.hl.TZ0.1 |
Level | HL only | Paper | 1 | Time zone | TZ0 |
Command term | Calculate | Question number | 1 | Adapted from | N/A |
Question
Bottles of iced tea are supposed to contain 500 ml. A random sample of 8 bottles was selected and the volumes measured (in ml) were as follows:
497.2, 502.0, 501.0, 498.6, 496.3, 499.1, 500.1, 497.7 .
(i) Calculate unbiased estimates of the mean and variance.
(ii) Test at the \(5\%\) significance level the null hypothesis \({{\rm{H}}_0}:\mu = 500\) against the alternative hypothesis \({{\rm{H}}_1}:\mu < 500\) .
A random sample of size four is taken from the distribution N(60, 36) .
Calculate the probability that the sum of the sample values is less than 250.
Markscheme
(i) 497.2, 502.0, 501.0, 498.6, 496.3, 499.1, 500.1, 497.7
using the GDC
\(\overline x = 499.0\) , \({\sigma ^2} = 3.8(0)\) A1A1
Note: Accept \(499\).
(ii) EITHER
\(p\)-value = 0.0950 A1
since \(0.0950 > 0.05\) accept \({H_0}\) R1A1
OR
\({t_{calc}} = - 1.45\) , \({t_{critical}} = - 1.895\) for \(v = 7\) at 5 % level A1
since \({t_{calc}} > {t_{critical}}\) accept \({H_0}\) R1A1
[5 marks]
each \(X \sim {\rm{N}}(60,36)\) so \(\sum\limits_{n = 1}^4 {{X_n} \sim {\rm{N}}(4(60),4(36)) = {\rm{N}}(240,144)} \) M1A1A1
\({\rm{Pr}}({\rm{Sum}} < 250) = {\rm{Pr}}\left( {z < \frac{{250 - 240}}{{12}} = \frac{5}{6}} \right)\) (M1)(A1)
\( = 0.798\) (by GDC) A1
Notes: Accept \(0.797\) (tables).
Answer only is awarded M0A0A0(M1)(A1)A1.
[6 marks]
Examiners report
(a)(i) Very few mistakes were made in this question, although sometimes variance and standard deviation were confused. Why both variance and standard deviation are needed might be something that teachers could explore.
(ii) Again there were no serious problems although some candidates fail to show all the important parameters such as degrees of freedom.
This was found to be relatively straightforward except for using the correct variance of \(144\). It would be useful here to make clear the distinction between the sum of random variables and a multiple of a random variable.